Everton vs Leicester by Marcelino

Everton
VS
Leicester
Everton have been having a good season! Their performances have been better than their results. They are tough to beat with only 3 losses to the big sides like Man Utd, Arsenal and Man City. However, a problem for them is that they draw too many games, with 8 draws in 16 matches. They have been having stand out performances from Lukaku, Barkley and now their have Baines back.

 

Leicester have been an incredible season! They were expected to struggle in the relegation zone but they are top of the league after 16 games with 2 points more than 2nd place Arsenal. They only lost 1 game to Arsenal. They have a tough few games coming up away to Everton, away to Liverpool then home to Man City.

 

I think there are a few good bets for this match. The 2 top scorers of the league meet here - Vardy and Lukaku and they are both in great form so it's difficult to argue against betting on either to score 1st or to score anytime. Also, I think Leicester to avoid defeat is a good bet as they only lost 1 time in 16 matches and with Everton drawing 8 games this season, the draw looks like the best bet for me. Over 2.5 goals would have been good, but the odds fell too much that it's not worth it any more imo.

 

However, I will go for a more unusual long shot bet for this match. I noticed a trend for the 2 teams. Everton have a tendency lately to dominate the 1st half and lose their lead in the 2nd. This happened on 2 occasions this season, but they were both recent in the last 3 league games. They took the lead agaisnt Norwich and then drew the game 1-1 and against Bournemouth, they took a 2-0 lead at half time, only to slow down considerably in the 2nd and draw 3-3. Leicester on the other hand, play much better in the 2nd half. They lost their 1st half on 6 occasions, but they came back to earn points on 5 of those occasions. They came back to earn a point from losing 1st half 3 times this season! They don't know when they're beat and keep fighting back in the 2nd half.

 

So Everton had HT/FT Win/draw 2 times in 16 games, and Leicester had HT/FT Lose/Draw 3 times in 16 games, so there seems to be good value in odds of 16. Everton will be eager for a fast start after throwing away wins in 2 of their last 3 league games, while Leicester are great at fighting back in 2nd halves. It's a long shot, so only small stakes, but I think this bet is well worth it! pin
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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
1 HT/ X FT BetVictor 16.00 4 2-3 LOST (-4 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
0 0
Comments (5)
LR10
Good bet , I like this odd and I will wait to see the formation before to pay this bet, gogo to win marcelino
12/17/2015 - 21:23
TNmN
HT-FT what? It's 1-X or what?
12/18/2015 - 18:21
marcelino
Yes, it's 1/X, sorry for not making it clear
12/19/2015 - 01:33
groom lake
XXX :)
12/19/2015 - 04:25
lord posho
thats a great bet - well reasoned out and good odds. I cant believe all the thumbs down - makes me wonder how many people on here actually understand value.
12/19/2015 - 17:52
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