Chelsea vs Sunderland by Marlo

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Chelsea
VS
Sunderland
Playing Chelsea at home has certainly lost some of the pedigree as the season has progressed. No longer are teams seeing this as an opportunity to avoid a humiliating defeat but instead are coming here to inflict a humiliating defeat on the hosts.

 

Some are billing this as a relegation clash and when you look at the league table its not funny at all if you are a Chelsea fan.

 

They have lost 5 of their last 7 games and are nestled a little above the poorer teams in the division who will be in a relegation scrap all season long. They are the defending champions and team value pales in comparison to the teams they dwell among so this highlights just how poor they have been.

 

Rather fascinatingly, week after week we are dangled mediocre odds on teams like Chelsea (and Manchester United). These teams continue to be priced up as if it will be smooth sailing when they are at home.

 

Can anyone really back Chelsea at 1/3. I wouldn't and surely you shouldn't either.

 

You would have to set your calender all the way back to 2010 to find the last time a head to head game between these two teams that has seen Chelsea beat Sunderland by more than 2 goals.

 

Also, for this bet to lose, you would need Chelsea to score at least 3 goals, something they are yet to do in the Premier League at home this season. They did score 4 once this season but that was in the Champions League to whipping boys Maccabi in a 4-0 rout.

 

Sunderland has improved defensively under Big Sam and I don't see them conceding 3 goals here especially given Chelsea's attacking troubles. Of cours they are capable of scoring themselves too as Chelsea has been an absolute shambles at the back this season and I reckon any Premier league side who go to the Bridge with a positive mindset can score, even the lack of a positive mindset and you can still breach what has been a repeatedly poor defence by the Champions throughout the season.

 

In the last 5 Premier League games this bet wouldn't have lost for the Black Cats with the Gunners game seeing our stakes returned had we played this option and even then it was an injury time goal that added a bit of gloss to the score at the Emirates.

 

I could go on forever about how much I like this bet but there isn't any need. Don't have much team news to go on but I'm not sure Mourinho would be in charge come kick off and Hazard is a doubt. Posting this early so I don't get talked out of it later in my mind as the weekend gets closer. I do have some draws lined up as well but this is a bet I like very strongly and the chances of it losing are minimal given the level of security and I expect the price to shorten as well.

 

Definitely suggest the +1.5 Ah for Sunderland as a more pricey alternative.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Sunderland +2 AH Pinnacle 1.51 10 3-1 PUSH (Stake return)
0 0
Comments (4)
groom lake
why to even bother with this game when we have hundred others games to choose from. both team are crap now and it is like flip a coin. sport betting is not about flipping coins, there are casinos for that. stay away from Chelsea until situation clears. they didn't forgot how to play soccer, there are few players with big stars attitude against Mou and others don;t give a fu.k 2. team is divided and it's visible-stay away or flip a coin, good day and good luck ;)

ps Marlo I like your draw picks, with most till now I agree and with few I would disagree but mostly we on the same page. Like I
12/17/2015 - 05:08
Stephen
Good bet. Mourinho is close to door & would not be suprised to see a Sunderland side fighting for there safety earn at least a draw. Moral is very low in the Chelsea camp & Sunderland will see what Bournemouth done at the bridge recently!
12/17/2015 - 18:25
Marlo
Special one sacked... Hard to say if that improves or lessens the chances of this bet. Lol @ the thumps down...guess ppl vote based on odds as well lol
12/17/2015 - 20:44
lord posho
not worth getting involved for odds like that. the scoreline could be anything in this one.
12/19/2015 - 17:45
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