NEC Nijmegen vs Zwolle by DoubleDown
After being relegated from the Eredivisie in 2013-14, Nijmegen wasted no time and rebounded to 1st overall in the Eerste Divisie. They ended up winning all 19 of their home matches last year and from January until May they won 17 straight games, all while only conceding 11 goals. NEC finished the season with a 32-2-3 overall record and 14 clean sheets. They scored 100 goals, allowed 32 goals overall and finished with a home record of 63 goals, 17 against.
After only losing 2 home matches in the last year and 9 in total, NEC Nijmegen knows and has the spirit of winning with them. They aren’t used to losing and definitely not at home. Still slinging forward with last season’s momentum, they’ve become a serious contender in Holland’s top division. Don’t be surprised if they finish in the top 5 overall in the Eredivisie this year. Who knows, we might even see them in the Europa League next year. Either way, Nijmegen currently has some serious betting value @ home.
Since they’ve been back in the Eeredivisie they’ve kept a tight home record of 5-1-1 while allowing only 4 goals and scoring 11. They sit in 4th place at home beside PSV who also has 16 points but 3 more goals than Nijmegen.
PSV hosted NEC Nijmegen in late September this year and won 2-1. Now, everyone knows that if there is any HOME team in their OWN league to beat, it’s PSV. Throughout the game, Nijmegen held possession 48% of the time and ended up with 3 shots from 14 attempts. PSV finished with 7 shots from 16 attempts. Point being, it was a much closer game than anyone expected, even if Nijmegen’s only goal did come from a penalty.
One of the reasons for Nijmegen’s recent success is 27 year old forward Christian Santos. Scoring 23 goals and 10 assists in 34 appearances last season (second overall in the Eerste Divisie). The left footed Venezuelan can play as a striker, center forward, right or left wing. He is mentally strong and knows what to do when needed. He’s capable of controlling the ball in the air and on the ground with finesse. It seems that injury and bad management has allowed for this talented forward to slip under the radar for so long. So far this season he’s scored 10 goals and 2 assists in only 14 appearances.
As for Zwolle…
Once a decent home team, beating PSV last season, Zwolle has withered into what they’ve become today. They’re 3-1-2 on the road with 10 goals scored and 5 allowed. I’d like to point out that 5 of those goals came from a 5-0 win against Roda, one of the teams promoted up from the Eerste Divisie with Nijmegen this year.
Overall, Zwolle sits in 8th place with 22 goals and 19 against. They’ve won just 2 of their last 5 on the road against Willem II and Roda, both of these teams together don’t have as many wins as Zwolle does. They’ve won just 2 in their last 9, soon to be 10 after going south to Nijmegen.
Nijmegen won 4-1 @ home to Den Haag earlier this season, Zwolle won @ home to Den Haag 2-1.
Zwolle & Nijmegen both lost @ home to Ajax 2-0.
Nijmegen beat Utrecht 1-0 @ home, Zwolle lost @ home to Utrecht 2-1
-0.25 on a parley or a straight win on a single!
|NEC Nijmegen||Unibet||2.10||8||2-2 HALF LOST (-4 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.