Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow by MagicRat

Gornik-Zabrze
VS
Wisla-Krakow
15 games into the season and Gornik Zabrze and Wisla Krakow have had contrasting seasons with Zabrze sitting bottom of the table on just nine points, having managed just one win all season. Wisla, on the other hand, have 22 points and currently lie in 6th position.

 

Five of Wisla's 15 games have had over 3.5 goals which is a third and just under a third of Zabrze's games have gone over 3.5 goals with four of their 15 doing so. For Gornik three of these four matches have come in home matches where they have only failed to score twice and in three of their last six home matches they have scored two goals. Furthermore, they have only kept one clean sheet all season so they are prone to conceding goals and given the away form of Wisla you would think they would concede a few goals here.

 

Three of Wisla's five matches over 3.5 goals have come in away matches. All of which have come in three of their last four away matches which have seen a total of 16 goals, largely due to Wisla's scoring power. They have struggled to score at home having failed in each of their last three home matches but in three of their last four away matches they have scored three goals, four goals and six goals. They have also conceded in seven of their eight away matches this season.

 

Given the scoring potential of Wisla and they fact that Wisla tend to concede and Zabrze usually score I wouldn't be surprised to see a score of something like 3-1 to Wisla in this match and four of their last six meeting have gone over 3.5 goals with, in fact, all four of those matches having five goals. Therefore I see value in over 3.5 goals at odds of 3.60, especially since most bookmakers have over 2.5 goals at 1.91-2.00.pin
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Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Over 3.5 goals BetVictor 3.60 8 1-1 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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