Espanyol vs Malaga by Ceence
Tip based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Amount of cards in this season, Espanyol: 39 yellow (3,55/match) and 3 red (0,27/match), which makes them number 1 in the league table of getting cards.
Amount of cards in this season, Malaga: 28 yellow (2,55/match) and 2 red (0,18/match), which makes them number 15 in the league table of getting cards.
Together they have an average of 6,10 yellows and 0,45 reds per match.
Amount of yellows and reds in their last 6 previous meetings in La Liga: 39 (6,50/match) and 2 (0,33/match)
The referee is Juan Martinez Munuera. In his last 5 matches he has handed out 20 yellows (4,00/match) and 1 red (0,20/match). The league average for referees is: 5,56 yellows and 0,31 reds per match. That makes him the 18th most card crazy referee in La Liga.
Only looking at the ref, this maybe doesn’t make a lot of sense. However, targeting my focus on Espanyol (number 1) and that I expect Malaga to crawl up the ladder in the league table of bookings, then I see this as perfect match up. Last year Malaga ended as the 7th most card collecting team. If you dig into their matches and the refs they have had this season, you will see that they have almost only had stingy referees and the few matches they haven’t, then the match has been settled early. I cannot see who will win this match, meaning that I believe it is going to be close, and with the cut at only 5,5 then I see this as a very good bet.
|Over 5,5 cards||Bet365||1.85||8||2-0 WON (+6.8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.