Gremio vs Fluminense RJ by Garc1

Gremio
VS
Fluminense-RJ
Gremio and Fluminense play the 35th round of Brazilian A series.

 

Gremio comes in the 3rd position of the table with 59 points due to a record of 17w-8D-9L, and its clearly a most dangerous team playing in their stadium because in the last 10 games at home they have 6 wins and only 2 defeats , precious points collected at home give them the possibility to stay in the G-4 and fight for a spot of Libertadores cup.

 

This game is really important for them in order to secure the Libertadores cup, so they will play with maximum responsibility and almost maximum strength.

 

They will have some important returns for the first 11 like Edinho, the striker Bôbo, and Ramiro, meanwhile Lincoln left the last training with some Physical complaints and Erazo is on the Brazilian National team.

 

Probable 11: Marcelo Grohe, Marcelo Oliveira, Rafael Galhardo, Pedro Geromel, Bressan, Giuliano, Walace, Luan, Douglas, Ramiro,Everton.

 

Fluminense comes in the 13th position with 43 points, a bit disappointing but the libertadores made some damage in a very good team ,with good players but unable to keep the good performance until the end.

 

The record of only 1 win in the last 10 away games is very poor and shows the difficulties that this team faces each time they travel to meet others and only gathered 4 points in 30 possible.

 

At this time this team plays for nothing, only pride , because they have no chance of getting in G-4 that gives the possibility to play libertadores and is not facing relegation, with 43 points things are pretty much settled .

 

Probable 11: Diego Cavalieri, Gum, Wellington Silva, Jonathan, Jean, Gerson, Cícero, Pierre, Higor, Fred, Marcos Júnior.

 

So Gremio is clearly favourite for this one, they have the stats,the current form and the motivation to win this match, on the other hand Flu has also very good and mobile strikers and may even cause some difficulties to Gremio, I even think that they will both score but Gremio should win this one.

 

In order to play a little bit safer I will chose the market of Btts and over 2,5 because both have very good offensive quality, Flu showed some defensive issues in the last games and the fact that Flu plays for nothing makes me believe that will be a good game for goals.

 

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
BTTS AND OVER 2,5 10bet 2.70 8 1-0 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
0 0
Comments (3)
LF
Looking tough, last 8 H2H games only had 8 goals totally and no games over 2.5
11/19/2015 - 22:09
Garc1
Every game has his history...Don't trust H2H too much...H2H his just 33% of a correct analysis, 33% of current form, 33% of motivation.
And luck obviously but I cannot measure luck in percentage
11/19/2015 - 23:40
oppo
fluminense or draw ...... i bet
11/20/2015 - 00:25
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