Azerbaijan vs Italy by Garc1

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
9th round of Group H of Euro 2016 qualifiers at Baku national stadium between Azerbaijan and Italy .


Azerbaijan comes to this match in the 5th position with 6 points due to 1win-3draws-4 defeats,scores an average of 0.75 goals and concedes in average 1,65 goals per match, so it´s obvious that they struggle to score and concede with ease and due to this fact 75% of home games are under 2,5 goals.


Playing in Azerbaijan is always difficult because of the distance of traveling and the climate that is very harsh.


Italy comes in the 1st position of the group but without great exhibitions, it´s very hard to see a game until the end of this team, it´s really boring, like Portugal, Conte´s team defend…defend…defend a little more and them scores a goal and…defend…defend…waste time …defend a little more and the final whistle comes…But job done with 3 points…


They only need 1 point to secure the first place and I think that they will due that, the last game is against Norway at home so a draw here is sufficient…


They have 18 points, 11/5 goals , 75% of the games end with less than 2,5 goals so I think that this record will be maintained and we will see few goals because the Italians are very pragmatic in their games.


I think that Italy will win but by a narrow margin, they already conceded a goal in their turf of this Azerbeijan team and now they will do anything to avoid that from happening again,the main objective is to point, and if possible to win so that they can face the last clash against Norway with full confidence.


So I see good value on under 2 goals,0-0, 0-1 or 0-2( 0-2 already happened between these two…)


Italy to win is very low and no value in that…


Under 2,5 goals is very low and no value in that...


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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
under 2 A.H Pinnacle 2.20 8 1-3 LOST (-8 units)
0 0
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