The odds are way too high here on italian. I would rate this match as a coin-flip. Considering that Nadal have lost Fognini 3 times already this year, the odds on Nadal should be around 1.80. Surely, Nadal is playing pretty well here in Beijing, but so is Fognini. Italian have become a pretty uncomfortable opponent for spaniard. I will never forget that US Open match this year when Nadal was 2 sets up and then suddenly the game changed. He looked like he used all his gasoline after 2 sets, Nadal. Fognini played better against Nadal all year long and have defeated him twice on clay and once on HC at US Open 2015. Nadal did take a revenge in Hamburg earlier this year. Obviously, Nadal will be eager for revenge here after his loss at US Open, however, imo, that will only put more pressure on his shoulders and knowing that he will play Djokovic in the Finals, and knowing that he doesn't stand a chance there, he might just finally give up and head towards Shanghai Masters. Fognini, on the other hand is playing with great confidence and after all these victories over Nadal this year, he should feel even better and concentrated for the victory.
I take this mainly because of the odds. They are just way too high and I see good value by taking them.
Good luck !
Play now US Players are welcome
||2-0 LOST (-7 units)|