Wawrinka vs Austin Krajicek by Bulan20

Can´t help myself to go against the world #4 in this QF in Tokyo 500.

 

All know that Stan the man is the better player here and most likely will take this matchup probably

 

80-90% of the times. So why should Krajicek have a chance at all here to cause a upset?

 

Krajicek is a strong CH player, plays some bigger tournaments with no real results. Plays best on HC and is 26/16. Have already played 4 matches here in Tokyo: 2 realative breeze sets against Sekiguchi and Mahut, tight 3 sets against Ebden and in R.2 turned it around against Sousa 2-6 6-4 6-3. Krajicek has a strong serve that is working well. Was also playing solid in his groundstrokes against Sousa so have some qualities there as well.

 

Stan has been qualified for London since US Open, so he isn´t desperate to go far here. And he have been playing a bit up and down since then. Watched his game against de Bakker in DC and Stan was struggling in all ways of the game. Bad serve, often short in the rallies and some easy errors. In Metz he was pushed by a at the moment very poor Dustin Brown, winning 4-6 6-3 7-6. In QF he retired due to a sprained ankle. Here in Tokyo he has started of with a win in straight sets against Stepanek and Ito in 3 sets. Stan is playing well but not at the level we are used to. Didn´t serve well at all against Ito and also had some unexpected struggle in the rallies. Another factor is also that ATP 1000 in Shanghai starts in a few days, which can work as some sort of safetynet if he would loose here.

 

This is a longshoot of course, but if Stan plays like he did against Ito I think this bet has a better chance then the odds shows. Already qualified to London = less pressure but also less motivation I believe. ATP 1000 around the corner = maybe more motivated to test his form there and not that eager to go far here. Krajicek is also playing well and if he can keep up the level of serving at the same time Stan doesn´t perform on top I think we can see a upset here. Think Krajicek will be very motivated and I think he is worth a bet. Krajicek for the win.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Austin Krajicek Pinnacle 7.47 4 2-0 LOST (-4 units)
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