Albania vs Serbia by Sharingham
Game will be played in Elbasan, a city in central Albania, on Elbasan Arena (Capacity 12500) where host national team plays their games. Requisition of tickets for this match was 10 times bigger than capacity of stadium. The atmosphere will be tense, in the least. The cause of the great rivalries here is political nature, not sports. Although the Albanian authorities have taken maximum precautions, there was an incident already, a bus with Serbian football players immediately upon arrival was stoned on the road to Tirana. In addition, the team has not trained the day before the match that it was customary (for greater safety) and they need to get in Elbasan through small towns and unsecured roads today.
First match in Belgrade was interrupted and Albania have been awarded with three points. I do not exclude unpleasant situations and possible interruptions today but I hope I'm wrong.
Albania has a historic opportunity: a win would take over second place in the group that would qualify them in final stage. In last round they will play against last placed Armenia. However, second placed Denmark has only one more match, they playing away vs favorite Portugal, so failure tonight would not mean that they will lose the chance, but everyone on the team regard as their huge opportunity and for sure they will strive to achieve it. Coach Gianni de Biasi will probably ask a proven strategy: formation 4-1-4-1which will wait for their chance from the mistakes of the opponent and counter-attack. Realistically, Albania has no gaming capacity which could count on the offensive and attractive football, so it is logical to stick to your plan, especially against stronger teams. Top players are goalkeeper Berisha, Xhaka (FC Basel), unattached Ajeti and veteran Cana.
Serbia is a different story. A very large number of quality players and the results more than the poor. With the team are not injured players Filip Kostic, Nastasic, L.Markovic and Filip Djordjevic. Serbia is expected to play his 4-2-3-1 formation, with Kolarov and Ivanović in defense, Chelsea Matic, Gudelj, Tosic, Tadic in middle and only striker will be Mirovic (Newcastle). Serbia has played a very bad so far, points today not mean anything, but will surely give their best to win. This team is relatively young and it is certain that at some point they will show a much better game and results, but I think they will leave it to the following qualifications for WC, where they have a very good group.
In such a climate and circumstances, I think the draw would be somehow painless for whole. Albania victory is something that the public and their supporters aspire, but realistically, Serbia is a much stronger team. Albania with only one point still has a great chance for a place in Euro16 so I will try with a draw tonight, maybe 1:1.
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|Draw||Bet365||3.00||6||0-2 LOST (-6 units)|