Pospisil vs Nadal by Bulan20
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Nadal haven´t had the best of years and has struggled more then we are used to. He has fighting injuries and never really come back to the play the he had before this season. On HC he especially has struggled with only 14-7 and against the only real big server he faced since august, Lopez, he lost after 3 sets in Cincinnati. Rafa is still top 10 and very much in the race for London, so he will be motivated to secure that spot within the next weeks. But his play is still lacking, 6-4 6-4 against Di Wu in R.1 and had a bit more trouble then expected. The serve wasn´t working that well and he was pushed in the rallies as well, with the chinese breaking Nadal at 4 times.
Will now face big server Pospisil. He is #44 and also haven´t had the best of years. Had a decent run i KL winning over Baghdatis before losing to Lopez in 3 sets. Here in China he dropped first set against Estrella before turning it around a winning 4-6 7-5 6-0. Didn´t get as much from his serve in that match as we are used to see. Pospisil is dependant on his serve to work but can handle himself in the rallies with a forehand that can create winners.
Think Nadal is too favoured in this matchup. Nadal´s play is still not working and if he doesn´t step it up I think he can struggle with the Canadian. If Vasek can serve a bit better I don´t see Nadal getting that many breakchances, especially on this fast surface. Expect a tighter match then the odds shows. Nadal can ofc take this in straight sets but I think there is a solid chance for Vasek to take a set or even the match. Over 2,5 sets is the bet.
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|Over 2,5 sets||Bet365||3.00||6||0-2 LOST (-6 units)|