Northern Ireland vs Greece by DrVonKlaps
Greece: 7 out of 8 matches in the group ended with less than 3 goals (and many of them even less than 2 goals). On the other hand 5 out of 8 matches of N. Ireland ended with less than 3 goals scored. That explains the odds. Someone could bet on under 1,5 goals. If we were in the mid season, with much at stake, that would probably be the best bet.
But now we have this situation: N. Ireland (currently in 1st place) have to win this in order to secure direct qualification and not to worry about next match (away vs Finland).
On the other hand Greece, is a team that usually plays (too) defensive and in this round Stage have scored almost no goal. But now, Greece have nothing on stake and nothing to win. There is no need to play defensively. They will play freely as if they play a friendly game. Probably they (we) will try to forget this season. It was probably the worst season of our National Team. A team that plays freely without being under pressure, is capable of the worse or even the best result.
Having that on mind, the odds for over 2,5 goals (@3,50) do not reflect the data of the match and the true probabilities. How many times do we find so high odds for a over 2,5 bet? I place my stake on over 2,5 goals.
Play now US Players are welcome
|over 2,5 goals||Bet365||3.50||5||3-1 WON (+12.5 units)|