Grimsby Town vs Gateshead by DrVonKlaps

Grimsby-Town
VS
Gateshead
English National League, Round 15. Grimsby is facing Gateshead.

 

I probably have a problem to understand the odds of this match.

 

Gateshead FC is in the 4th place of the table, with 8 wins in 14 matches and with a good away record 5-1-1. They lost last match at home vs Dover.

 

Grimsby Town FC on the other hand are in place 10 with 5 wins in 14 matches. At home they have a probably nonimpressive record (3-3-1). Last match against Forest Green at home ended in a 1-1 draw.

 

According these facts, I expected home win around 1,90 and away win around 4,50. I can not explain the actual odds (home win @1,45, away win @ 7,00). As if Grimsby have already scored an early goal or as if Gateshead are going to play with 10 men from the first minute.

 

Taking that on account, and believing that odds are not correct, I will bet on away win, draw no bet @5,00

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
2 draw no bet Bet365 5.00 5 2-1 LOST (-5 units)
0 0
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