Ternana vs Novara by Duyce

Ternana
VS
Novara
Hello tipsters.

 

As a first tip @Betshoot i chose a Serie B match between Ternana and Novara.

 

Both teams are in relegation zone as visitors sit on a 20th place, hosts sit on bottom of the table.

 

Ternana is going through bad season so far. They had extremely had schedule in terms of teams playing against them (Livornoo, Cagliari, Salernitana). In 5 matches they managed to get 1 draw and 4 losses. Pretty bad stats, however the draw was against the top candidate to promote this year - Cagliari and they also managed to score 2 goals against strong Livorno - a team which concedes more than a 1 goal very rarely. They also lost 2:0 lead in this match. 2 players will miss this match: Meccariello and Dugandzic.

 

Visitors for this match - Novara had better schedule in terms of opponents. From 5 matches the managed to get only 1 win - against weak Entella. In most of the matches, they arent able to score. As an example we can use their last match against average Como where they werent able to score and conceded in 81th and 90th minute to lose 0-2. As I mentioned above, their schedule was lighter with only strong opponent being Crotone (2-1 L). 2 players will miss : Ludi and Faragó

 

I expect:

 

Goalless first half - only 7/22 goals of these teams were scored/conceded in first halves.

 

Small amount of scoring chances

 

Only 12% of matches in Serie B in this season ended with the away win. In this case we should work with lower percentage according to Novara position and latest performances. Moreover, over 50% of matches ended with home win. i think that home crowd will lead Ternana to take the first home win of the season. Most possible outcome : 1-0 . Good luck.pin
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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Draw no bet 1 Bet365 1.68 7 2-0 WON (+4.76 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
0 0
Comments (2)
duyce
Correction: 16% of matches ended with away win.
10/03/2015 - 15:23
SlimGiant
Yeah, maybe a draw, but should there be a winner, then it'll be Ternana. Good bet.
10/03/2015 - 17:15
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