Crvena zvezda vs Mega Vizura by Sharingham
ABA League season starts today and this match is most interesting for sure.
In my opinion, for this season, teams lost a little on quality but it is still open to the deadline for completing teams, so... The main favorites for the title are current champion Red Star (Crvena Zvezda) and Cedevita. Potentially Buducnost may involve in the fight for the trophy, but it does seem that they are not as strong as last year when the little missed to qualify for the Euroleague. This year, 6 time champs Partizan is drastically weaker and its not among the competitors for playoffs.
Mega Leks (not Vizura) is a team that has been established in the competition and is one of the better teams in the league. It is important to note that the team is owned by most influential basketball agent Misko Raznatovic and his agency BeoBasket. Therefore, the team is composed of talented players ages 18-21, mostly contracted to agency. They also brought experienced center Samardziski. In the pre-season games they played great, beating Pinar Karsiyaka and Trabzonspor. They also played with tonight's opponent, but lost. Coach Milojevic maximally use young and enthusiastic players, forcing the game with a lot of running and aggression which can make it difficult for a favored champion, considering fatigue and injuries of Red Star.
Last year champion Crvena Zvezda enters a new season without top players from last year: Marjanovic (San Antonio), Jenkins (Milano), Kalinic (Fenerbahce), Blazic (Laboral Kutxa) and Wiliams (suspended for using marijuana!). New players are: Greek Sofoklis Schortsanitis, ex Bamber Ryan Thompson and playmaker Gal Mekel. Also a short-term signing of ex-captain Simonovic until they gain adequate players. Main problem are injuries of Maik Zirbes and Tejic and lack of players at positions 3 and 4. Then, in the next 15 days will have to play 6 matches which is very hard for the already short rooster. Of course, Red Star is a main contender in competition, in addition to the aforementioned players, there are captain Mitrovic, Jovic, Dangubic etc. But they need at least two more players to be able to play all competitions (which also a coach stated). In such circumstances, I doubt that in the coming period they will play at the expected level and achieve a convincing victories. They still have to expect fluctuations during the match and keeping players while not fully formed team.
Therefore, I expect a home win but not as convincing as we are accustomed. Margin +8,5 on Mega, Good Luck!
P.S. I also do not believe that they will break margin 159,5 points, but as they always play with a lot of points ... I would not bet against tradition :)
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|2 (+8,5)||Bet365||1.83||7||76-70 WON (+5.81 units)|