Viking vs Sarpsborg by Luca Garzeli
That Viking made me lost some money when they sold Veton Berisha to Greuther Furth. I thought that without his goals, the team will fall down for sure. Quite the opposite, they won 60& of the matches and they are in the top group of the league, behind the future champion Rosenborg. In their last Cup game, they beat comfortably last Cup/League champion Molde, that aren't in his better year.
Sarpsborg arrived the past year to this round, and was demolished (5-2) by Odds. This year, the team played again with Odds and this time won 2-1 in 1/4. The other rounds aren't too importants, because were played against lower teams as away team. Both teams qualified due to a PK shootout mode in 4th round.
I don't think that Sarpsborg will have relegation problems. They are 7 points ahead the promotion spot that currently pertain to Mjondalen, but 7 points are only 3 games, so they are still in the battle. Away from home isn't a bad team, receives few goals, draws a lot and they weren't trashed in any round in the domestic league, they managed to play with narrow scores against good teams (0-0 Molde, 3-2 Rosenborg).
Viking is a team that don't draw very often (only 2 draws this season in 24 rounds), and excepting a weird defeat against Haugesund (two games after that team won Molde, away from home too), they only lost against top teams in the league.
After Verisha's departure, the other attackers scored goals. When Berisha was at the club, neither Böðvarsson or the two nigerian players scored a lot, practically, and now they combined 19 goals in the league, so I think the home team have weapons to beat the away defense. Sarpsborg was receiving 6 goals in the last 4 games, after a 0-0 draw against Molde. Away from home they combined some 0-0 results against top teams and games with 3 goals conceded.
In my eyes, norweigen cup hasn't high reputation, for this reason I think it's a big advantadge be in a better form and play at home. I say that because in 3 days Viking have a big game (or not) away from home against Rosenborg in Trondheim. The normal thought will be rotate the team thinking in the league, but I think it's a good opportunity to reach the final and play against Rosenborg, that yesterday won 3-2 Stabaek in the extra time.
Obviously, is the second semifinal in a row for Sarpsborg, and the team want to go through too, but I have the feeling that the home team will find the motivation to play that big final (it's not a Tromso - Hodd or a Brann - Aalesunds, it would be a Viking - Rosenborg). It will be the way to beat the team that this season is dominating Norway. I can't say that Sarpsborg will be thinking in the domestic league today, because it won't be like this, but I think their objective must be stay in Tippeligaen the next year.
In league games, 1st leg finished 3-1 and 2nd leg 0-2, both games won by Viking.
|Viking to win||Pinnacle||1.62||9||0-0 LOST (-9 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.