Aston Villa vs Birmingham City by FP
Aston Villa are not a good side, even hardcore Villa fans will agree that this is one of the weakest teams in a long while. That said, they are just about good enough to scrape enough points to keep them in the Premier League, thanks mainly to the input Tim Sherwood has in motivating his players when the going gets tough. His team need a victory to boost confidence and put a stop to the doubt appearing amongst the fans. I expect Sherwood to play his strongest side albeit with a focus on the homegrown players who realise the importance the fans place on this local derby. Agbonlahor looks likely to start, and maybe line up alongside Gestede who would improve Villa's physical presence. Scott Sinclair also looks a certain starter after his hat trick in the previous round. Villa may be without Gil and Gueuye for this match who both have to prove their fitness.
Birmingham are a steady Championship side now, but in my opinion are nowhere near challenging for a play off place and will be in the bottom half of the table come the end of the season. Birmingham have had a reasonable start to the season and sit 7th, but have only picked up one point from their last two games, a 1-0 defeat at home to Nottingham Forest before a 1-1 draw at Ipswich last weekend.
Gary Rowett's team will need Villa to have another bad game if they are to have any chance of progressing. Birmingham would be nowhere near good enough to stay in the Premier League, so there is a difference in class between the two teams which I see Villa exploiting. That said, Villa's defence is poor so there is always a good chance they will concede. Looking at the odds, there is a bit of value at a very good price for both teams to score in an Aston Villa win. This is not a certainty by any means, but at the price I feel it is a chance well worth taking.
Bet - Both teams to score in a Villa win @ odds of 4.00
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|BTTS in a Villa win||10bet||4.00||6||1-0 LOST (-6 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.