Newcastle vs Watford by Marcelino
Tip based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
I think Newcastle are clear favourite in this match. They didn't get a win yet this season but they have had difficult fixtures so far. They showed that they are capable of defending well in their away game against Man Utd. In their home game vs Arsenal, they had a sending off early in the game. They drew home to Southampton 2-2. This is the first game in the league that they are expected to win and I think they are likely to do so.
Watford have only managed to score 1 goal in their last 3 games and 2 of those games were home to Southampton and home to West Brome. Newcastle also failed to score in last 4 games, but again, the fixtures were difficult, home to Arsenal and away to Man Utd, Swansea and West Ham.
I think the difference in fixtures creates a skewed perception on this match and I think newcastle are clear favourites. But since both teams struggle to score and there is a high chance of a draw, I will take Newcastle +.25 on AH at higher stakes instead of AH 0 or newcastle win.
|Newcastle AH +.25||Pinnacle||1.56||10||1-2 LOST (-10 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.