Lech Poznan vs Belenenses by RTS1910
Tip based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Although you can say in europe its a different game, which is true. Lech have hardly been on fire in europe, they beat FK Sarejevo of Bosnia and Videoton of Hungary. These teams are very weak and the leagues are even lower quality than the Polish league. In particular Videoton seem in crisis this season so I really am not taking anything from those victories. The one time Lech had a tough european draw this season they lost 1-3 and 1-0 (1-4 agg) to FC Basel. Generally Polish teams really struggle in europe with the exception of Legia in recent years, Lech don't have the same experience in the team as Legia have.
Another factor is the crowd, usually Lech as most Polish teams have amazing atmospheres especially at big games like this but for this match the home fans are boycotting due to UEFA donating money from ticket sales to refugees. So a low crowd with no organised support is expected.
Admittidly I don't know an awful lot about Belenenses but Portuguese teams are usually very solid and organised in europe. Belenenses eliminated IFK Goteborg (who beat Polish side Śląsk) and also Austrian team Altach. Give the other two teams in this group are Basel and Fiorentina this is a big match for both teams. I think the mood and morale at Lech is very low, added to that the fan boycott I think everything is set up for the away team to take something from this game.
|Belenenses +0.5AH||Pinnacle||2.12||9||0-0 WON (+10.08 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.