Luzern vs Basel by Raymond Fire

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Luzern
VS
Basel
Very good value today in Basel, who have now been Swiss Champions for the last 6 consecutive seasons, most recently winning the league by an impressively large point margin; by some distance they are the best team in Switzerland.

 

Also, playing on the road doesn't seem to bother them (as just shown in the Champs League, where they took a 1-3 advantage away from home against Lech, and then solidified with a 1-0 win at home afterwards)... In fact last season in the league they won the same amount of games on the road as they did at home (12 each).. They play just as well away from home as they do at home. They finished top of the table individually for both home and away games last season.

 

Whilst Basel topped the table, again, which comes with the reward of Champs League football... Luzern finished mid-table, missing out on any European football rewards. In the transfer window they made a few signings (no one amazing, most their new players are from lower divisions or their 2nd team), but in total probably lost more quality than they gained.

 

Their team is substantially weaker than Basel's, and that should show today. Their roster value just about tops £10million in total, whilst Basel's team is valued at almost £40million. Basel also were pretty active in the recent transfer window, they have particularly strengthened their midfield (and their wings now with RW Bjarnason & LW Boetius). They look good for this season and are clear favourites, as usual, to win the league... They also look like they will make a promising run on a European scale.

 

They have certainly started their season in the best way possible, 5 games and 5 wins. That includes both legs of their Champs League clash against Lech as well as 3/3 wins in the league so far, already at the top of the table in their expected position (and a +6 goal difference in the league already).

 

Luzern have also started the league well, they stand unbeaten after their 3 games (although 2 draws).. but it should be mentioned that their performances weren't great.. Their only win was a 0-1 against Thun - they were clearly the weaker team in this game and Thun were dominative, however, Luzern managed an 89th minute goal to take the 0-1 win.. Apart from that they have 2 draws, a respectable draw away from home to Young Boys and then a draw at home to Sion (who Basel then smashed 3-0 themselves shortly after).

 

Whilst Basel can be noted for their strong away form and record.. Luzern, last season, were actually rather weak at their own ground. Whilst, like Basel, they finished with a good record away from home, their home record was disappointing. They finished 7th (out of 10) for their home games with a 5-8-5 record.. Not very good, especially when coming up against the clear best club in the country.

 

H2H wise, Basel also have a strong record against Luzern. From the last 10 games played against each other Basel have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses.... Both those losses actually came at Basel's ground too.. So regarding games played at Luzern only, from the last 5, Basel have 4 wins and 1 draw, remaining unbeaten in this time.

 

Basel enter this game with very high spirits and team morale inclined due to their recent progression into the play offs for the group stage of the Champs League. They managed to win both legs over Lech and now return to the league for a 2 games until they play Maccabi Tel Aviv.

 

The only factor today which goes against Basel is the fact that they have had a couple more games recently (due to Champs League)... So Luzern have had a couple days more rest since their last game out. So, it could be said that Basel are disadvantaged due to this, however, I don't see this being a big factor... First of all, it's at the beginning of the season so players will not get fatigued so easily.. Also, Basel's last 2 games have been at home which eliminates the potential factor of them having to travel around (wh

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Away 0.0 Asian Bet365 1.70 7 1-3 WON (+4.9 units)
0 0
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