Cincinnati vs St. Louis by Sors

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Michael Lorenzen (3-6 with a 4.80 ERA), who takes the hill for the Reds in the last game of their three-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals at Great American Ball Park, started the season in a good shape, but the right-hander had obvious problems in his three starts after the All-Star Game.


Lorenzen surrendered four or more earned runs in each of those three outings, including 6 hits and 5 runs, with three walks over 5 2/3 innings of a 4-5 loss against Pittsburgh last Friday.


The right-hander has never faced the Cardinals or any of their hitters before.


The Cardinals will send to the mound Michael Wacha (12-4 with a 3.09 ERA), who posted a 7.55 ERA in his last four starts away from home.


On the other hand, the right-hander was outstanding in his last start, in which he gave up just 4 hits and struck out seven over seven scoreless innings of a 7-0 win against Colorado on July 31.


There is actually one more reason for my bet: Wacha went 3-1 with a 2.21 ERA in six career starts versus Cincinnati, as the right-hander has posted a 2.35 ERA in four starts at Great American Ball Park in this period.


Joey Votto is 6-for-15, with a solo home run and two walks against him, Todd Frazier is 5-for-19, with a homer and a walk, but Jay Bruce, Billy Hamilton, Brandon Phillips and Marlon Byrd are a combined 3-for-65.


I think that St. Louis will win the final game of this series, most probably with more than one run difference.


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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
St. Louis - 1.50 Pinnacle 2.08 8 0-3 WON (+8.64 units)
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