Varnamo vs Jonkopings by Luca Garzeli

Varnamo
VS
Jonkopings
Match between solid top team Jönkopings and middle-low table Värnamo. Both teams play in natural grass in their venue.

 

The Jönkopings Södra's guys are quite consistent this season, thus only lost 10 points out 51 and command the standings 9 points ahead the 3rd classifiend and a game less. Far from home they are playing open games lately winning 4 in a row since their last draw (1-1 vs Östersunds) and both 4 were over 2.5 goals games. They won 7 of last 9 games. Despite, they don't need to win due to their big points gap advantadge, although I think they could keep the positive synergy.

 

Värnamo is playing bad away, but won 13 of his 18 current points as hosts. Nevertheless, they lost all 3 games they played versus high classified teams as Degerfors, Sirius or Varberg. They are capable to steal some points as they did against Ljungskile early in the season or the last game played at home (a 3-1 win vs Assyriska). h2h is not the best for Jönkopings, being that they lost the last 2 meetings in Värnamo.

 

Both teams don't seem propitious to bet for the DRAW when they play home/away as today's match, so I will skip this option. Jönkopings is improving the last seasons, till be the team with more options to promote in Superettan. For this reason, I don't care too much for h2h. However, h2h shows how Jönkopings top scorer Thelin (9 goals so far) scored 5 goals in the last 9 matchups against Värnamo, and 4/6 in the games that today's guests scored. Jönkopings is not a team that obtain a lot of penalties, but if they get it, Thelin probably will take it. In the team there are only 2 players successful in front of goal, Olsson and him, so the possibilities to score increases due to a less offensive eficiency by the midfielders that scored 12 goals among all.

 

I was wonering about Thelin to score and draw @17, but these two teams are not good for draw bets, as I said. In the last 5 matchups Jönkopings only managed to score 3 goals against Värnamo, but they are now in a good shape. Besides, CDM Gutu finished his loan from Kalmar and returned to his team early this month, so this loss will be important for sure for hosts.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Jonkopings to win & Tommy Thelin to score Unibet 5.30 3 1-1 LOST (-3 units)
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