Trans Narva vs Levadia Tallinn by Luca Garzeli
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
A bit high odds for me, -1 @1.77 and -0.5 @1.61 (10bet) are good bets here. Levadia is finishing his long trip away from home with the 8th game far from their homegrown. In that trip they won 6/8 games and only drew 2 against ok teams like Infonet & Flora avaraging 3 goals per game. Early this season Levadia drew vs Trans 1-1 at home while 1 month ago they won 1-3 away in their 2nd matchup.
Trans improved in the middle of the season, after win 1 game of the 8th firsts, they managed to win 6 of the following 10, 5 of them won to nil. Trans became in a tough team to play away, but the last 4 games against top teams they are struggling, and we can note who is playing to win the league, and who is playing for nothing, being that Trans won't have relegation problems due to their good results against lower teams.
The league it will decide in the games between the contenders, and Levadia has some advantadge, as they only lost 1 game of 2, while the rest of the contenders lost at least 5 games so far. h2h shows variety of results in that game, but the most common result is Levadia winning by +2 goal margin. As I said in my last Levadia pick, they are receiving goals in almost all their away matches (9/11) but managed to clean sheet in their last game against Parnu, while Trans failed to score in their last 2 games against good teams (Nomme Kalju & Infonet). I think AH -1 could be a safe bet here. The team that improved their squad is Levadia, signing forward Kink and defender Artjunin from better leagues as Romania and Scotland. But for me, the best add is Subbotin, the top scorer of the past season, that returns to the team after score 32 goals in 2014. Trans signed on loan a Levadia's right wing and a Eisiliiga left wing, both to add more deep at the squad. LW probably will be at the bench, and Lipin will be in the starting XI after he was ejected in his first match with the team.
|Levadia AH -1||Bet365||1.77||8||0-1 PUSH (Stake return)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.