Antonio Silva vs Soa Palelei by MMAbettor
The reason Antonio Silva is the underdog here is because he looked awful in his last two appearances (since he was forced to quit his testosterone replacement therapy), but every opponent he has fought in the last couple of years is of a much higher level than Soa Palelei.
Even though the chin of Silva has deteriorated, I still see value in these odds just based on the fact that his opponent isn't very good, and probably has the worst gas tank in the UFC. I also believe that Silva will have a huge advantage if it goes to the ground, especially if he gets top position.
It is also worth mentioning that Silva trains at a top level gym, American Top Team, and has had access to very good heavyweight sparring partners such as Todd Duffee, Shawn Jordan and Steve Mocco, while Soa Palelei has done most of his camp at AKA Thailand, where the only known name is ex-UFC welterweight Mike Swick, who will also be in his corner.
This is by no means a sure bet and there is a chance that Silva will get knocked out early in the fight, so it might be a smart option to hedge with Palelei 1st round KO/TKO, but I think the value in Silva to win is too good to ignore.
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|Antonio Silva to win||Pinnacle||2.84||5||Antonio Silva won WON (+9.2 units)|