Parnu vs Levadia Tallinn by Luca Garzeli

Parnu
VS
Levadia-Tallinn
Aftear an early european elimination, Levadia is irremediabily focused in domestic league. They are in the middle of a super-tour with 9 games away from home. They played 6 with 4 wins and 2 draws, similiar result they got in the reverse schedule of the 1st half of the season. In this run they are receiving goals in every game they played (6/6). Hosts are one of the weaker teams of the league and will fight with Paide and Tammeka to find the safe spot at the end of the season. Depsite they only have 11 points out 60, they are scoring well lately, with 6 goals in the last 2 games. H2h is not very reliable, because we only could confide in the 2 first matchups of the season between these two teams (2-2 and 3-0 for Levadia), but Parnu was an extremely open team last season in Esiliiga with 187 goals (scored/received) and we are mainly betting for a Parnu's goal.

 

I think that hosts are a weak team, but in current situation, they're capable of make an open game. One similar game was the Tammeka 2-3 Levadia, where hosts are a team that play the same kind of style that Parnu plays. Levadia received a goal this season in 9 of 10 away games. Parnu failed to score some games against top teams in the league at home (Tallina FC, Nomme Kalju) but they are in a good goal run and odds for a host goal worth for me. They scored twice in the last meeting late in April, so I think they could repeat the history.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Both teams to score Unibet 2.18 8 0-5 LOST (-8 units)
0 0
Comments (1)
LucaGarzeli
Odds dropped drastically in few hours below @1.70

Not value for late bets.
08/01/2015 - 17:52
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