Atvidabergs vs Malmo by Rostick
Atvidaberg was considered by most experts the weakest team in Sweden this season and the minnows are not disappointing them. They are dead last in the table, amassing a total of just 8 points in 17 matches. The only “good” things about Atvitabergs season is their home record, which is decent at 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses. They also didn`t get destroyed too often, having a “respectable” goal difference of -13, which is not the worst in the league. A hard working football team, but devoid of talent and they will almost surely relegate.
I picked Malmo to lose via handicap midweek against Salzburg and I had nothing good to say about them in that prediction. Malmo lost 2-0 and their struggles seem to continue. The Champions were expected to cruise in Allsvenskan this season, they made investments in the summer and have a fantastic squad, but something is not clicking. However, thanks to a 3-0 victory over Sundsvall last weekend, combined with the struggles of other title challengers, Malmo is just 5 points behind the first place, so they are still in the race and highly motivated to win this match.
Team news: Malmo might choose to rest some players ahead of the Red Bull Salzburg reverse leg, but nothing is clear at this stage. The manager said that he will field a competitive team either way against Atvidabergs.
Obviously Malmo has to think about the game against Salzburg, even if a 0-2 deficit will be almost impossible to overturn. Their focus will be on that, but they can`t afford to treat this game without concentration and lose vital points. Malmo badly needs the win and despite all their problems, they should be able to win. The quality difference is huge and it`s really unlikely that the worst team in the league will be able to take anything from this match.
Even with a weakened team (which is a big “if”), Malmo will normally win and cover the spread. After all, they do seem to be improving, winning against Zalgiris and Sundsvall before being a bit unlucky against Salzburg, allowing the 2nd goal in the 90th minute in a match in which they were competitive. I will stay on the safe side and tip a simple and straight Malmo win. The odds are actually very good. Prediction: Atvidaberg – Malmo 0-2.
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|Malmo||Pinnacle||1.65||8||2-2 LOST (-8 units)|