Internacional SC vs Tigre by Jiaho9

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Internacional-SC
VS
Tigre
Internacional hosts Tigres in a match to Copa Libertadores.

 

Internacional is waiting this match for a long time! They completely foget their internal competitions, and focus only on libertadores. But it have their consequences. Some players are without rithm, and without the needed confidence to a game like that! They won only 3 f the last 10 games, and their relation with the fans already had better days.

 

In the other hand, I believe that Tigres have a got chance here. Yes, they don't play since May, but it could also be an advantage. They got 2 months to study and prepare this match, and for sure the players are 100% focused.

 

Based on that I can't predict the winner today. So I found an interesting bet on the corner market.

 

I'll go with Tigres + 3.5 corners ah. That means that Tigres, if Tigres have, in the worst case, 3 corners less than Internacional, the bet is won! (If Tigres have more, or the same number of corners, is won too)

 

And I explain why:

 

In the last 10 matches of Tigres that's the corner registry:

 

Tigres 7 - 3 Opponent (bet won)

 

Tigres 8 - 2 Opponent (bet won)

 

Tigres 9 - 1 Opponent (bet won)

 

Tigres 4 - 1 Opponent (bet won)

 

Tigres 3 - 8 Opponent (bet lost)

 

Tigres 8 - 2 Opponent (bet won)

 

Tigres 2 - 6 Opponent (bet lost)

 

Tigres 3 - 4 Opponent (bet won)

 

Tigres 3 - 7 Opponent (bet lost)

 

Tigres 5 - 3 Opponent (bet won)

 

So the bet would be won in 7 of 10 times (70%)

 

In the Internacional matches, because their last 10 matches was from Brazilian League, I divided the search in 2:

 

1st - Last 10 matches:

 

Internacional 2 - 6 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 3 - 2 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 6 - 4 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 7 - 6 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 8 - 7 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 4 - 4 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 7 - 4 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 3 - 11 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 2 - 9 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 5 - 10 Opponent (bet won)

 

In the last 10 matches, the bet would bet won in all of them! (100%)

 

2nd - Last 3 rounds of Copa Libertadores:

 

Internacional 15 - 2 Opponent (bet lost)

 

Internacional 6 - 7 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 2 - 7 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 2 - 6 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 6 - 6 Opponent (bet won)

 

Internacional 3 - 5 Opponent (bet won)

 

In the last 6 matches in Libertadores, the bet would be won in 5 of them (83%)

 

So, based on that, I believe that the probability of this bet is way more than 60%, so for me, there is great value in this odds!

 

Good Luck!

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Tigres +3.5 corners ah Bet365 1.90 10 8-2 corners LOST (-10 units)
0 0
Comments (1)
jiaho9
Only to be clear, the bet IS NOT in the total corners of Tigres!

Is on what team got more corners, adding 3.5 corners to tigres!

example:

International 4 corners
Tigres 1 corner

1+3.5= 4.5

4.5 > 4

In this example the bet is won.
07/16/2015 - 04:34
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