Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu by Luca Garzeli

Tammeka-Tartu
VS
Parnu
Tammeka is for long the team that is receiving more goals in Meistriliiga. However, he played some "competitive" games against high classified teams like Levadia or Tallina Infonet, matches that they lost by a single goal after a good effort in both matches. He played at home 3 matches against teams of his level, winning 2 and drewing 1.

 

Parnu is a newly promoted team that for sure will be between the last 2 teams in the league. They only won 2 games this season, one of them at home against Tammeka, in a game that guests were winning 1-2, but in a big last 10 minutes, the home team finally won 4-2. In a close precedent, Tammeka won 3-2 Paide, while Parnu lost against Paide in the last league meeting 4-1. Far from home Parnu didn't score so much, but Tammeka is a propitious team to score.

 

Away side are winless away this season, but against the teams like them or similars, they scored some goals (5-2 vs Tulevik, 5-2 vs Trans). When I say "team like them" I'm talking about teams that aren't fighting for the league (first 5 teams). Last year, Tammeka played some similar games with a similar results. Won 2-1 Tallina Kalev, a relegation candidate that finally got relegated. Drewed 3-3 against Lokomotiv, another relegation candidate after won 3-1 at half time. Is that kind of game the match that I'm looking for.

 

No h2h matches a part from the 1st leg 4-2's game. BTTS @1.50 hasn't value for me, and Tammeka to win @2.2 isn't bad at all. But I'm expecting some goals, and with the over3.5 @2.5 we're excluding 2-1, so I prefer this 1&BTTS with medium stake.pin
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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Tammeka & BTTS BetVictor 3.80 5 1-0 LOST (-5 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
0 0
Comments (4)
Liam
i have to diagree i think this will be under 3.5 goals

collectivly looking at home and away these team average 0.8 goals scored per game
07/03/2015 - 19:09
Tromny
That's an ML = Money line :)
07/03/2015 - 19:56
Luca Garzeli
IMO it's very difficult not to score a goal against Tammeka, only 3 clean sheet in 3 years, 2 of them against the same team (Paide), but I have to recognize that Parnu is a low scorer team on the road. I'm waiting for a similar 1st leg match, that finish 4-2 but Tammeka was winning 1-2 at 80th minute.
07/03/2015 - 21:07
Luca Garzeli
Match deserved to show some more goals, maybe not over3.5 but at least 2 with almost 30 shots in the game. And one of these extra goals would call the next one. It's curious how when I pick match result & over/BTTS the game always finish with 0 goals or 1 in the last minutes. In the last 4 picks I tried, as Molde-Valerenga or Ull Kisa-Floy this is what happened.
07/03/2015 - 22:51
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