Cleveland Cavs vs GS Warriors by Khum

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Cleveland-Cavs
VS
GS-Warriors
NBA log: 25W - 2V - 14L

 

So here we are, at what I see to be the last game of this NBA season.

 

The Dubs have the momentum and I can't see them wasting it, as the Cavs have nothing left in the tank.

 

LeBron is huge, but he's not enough. They look exhausted bot physically and in terms of ideas.

 

If the game would be tight in the late stages, I think James could make the difference, but for that to happen they need the rest o the team to contribute till that point. And here we go again wirth the lack of depth of this Cleveland team: while the Cavaliers miss their two All Stars sidelined by injuries, Love and Irving, the Warriors switched the momentum in the last two games with a big contribution of two All Stars which were mostly on the bench in the first 3 games (Lee and Iguodala). Let's face what oll of us new at the start of this finals: as the Warriors have the deepest roster in NBA and one full of talent, the Cavs have not as good replacements on the bench. And that brought them in the point where their starters are lacking of energy.

 

So for this game I see betting value in two options.

 

1. Golden State Warriors -4 @ 1.917 is the first one, as I cannot see the Cavs capable of staying close.

 

2. Cleveland Cavaliers under 95 points scored in the game @ 1.925, as the hosts can never outscore the Warriors so their only chance is to keep a slow pace and to make the difference in defense. That will produce the 6'th low scoring game from 6. As in a low scoring affair there are more chances for Golden State to go over, I chose to fade Cleveland here, as they passed over 95 points in regular time only once in these finals.

 

PS

 

Remember my last predictions and the similarity I see between this series and the Warriors - Grizzlies one? I see also a similar ending. ;)

 

Let's go green!

 

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Cleveland Cavaliers to score under 95 points in the game Pinnacle 1.93 9 97 points LOST (-9 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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Comments (1)
Curry
Nice one . I like it . GL
06/17/2015 - 00:46
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