Kristianstads FF vs Lunds by Luca Garzeli
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
I was thinking long time about this pick, and finally I decided that the best bet here is look for a home team handicap, instead of bet on the goals market.
Low table clash between 14th and 12th classified, and we have a special subject with Lunds BK. This is a classic Division’s 1 Sodra team, that used to stay at the top of the table 4 of the last 5 years. Only in 2013 they finished behind the 6th position (10th), but this year seems to be a calamitous year for Lund. Some good players left the club for free to sign for Trelleborg (Camara-Jönson -24/28- Osmancevic -23/11- Amiri -24/9- or Robin Andersson -24/0-) and other players left the club to sign with other 3rd Division teams, as Viktor Svensson (24/2) Landskrona, or Fritiof Björken (18/1) Öster. Some young players arrived at the start of the season, but anybody capable to perform decently at this level. So, they are first from bottom, with just 4 points 1w/1d/7l – 6gs/29gc. Last two games lost 0:5 and 8:0. 6/7 last games over3.5 goals. All games as away team they lost by 2 or more goals margin, except a 2:1 against Oddevold, scoring their goal in 88th minute.
Kristianstads is not much better than the away team, but they are competing, at least. Last round, they surrendered against strong Trelleborg, winning 1-3 at 50th minute, and losing 4-3 with a late goal. They used to score, especially at home, but they used to concede goals, too. 19 goals in their last 4 games played. One interesting thing is that Lund, as I said a regular top-team in this Division, only managed to win 1 out 6 visits to Kristianstad. 3 loses, 2 draws, 1 win (0:2, scoring 2 quick goals in last 5 minutes of the game). Home team can’t managed to win any game this season by more than a 1 goal (2:1 and 3:2) but I think this game is different.
I have no idea about injuries in that game (as I can see, no card-suspended in home team from last game against Trelleborg). Home team is Andreas Grahm’s depending (8 goals in 9 games), and this fact could be good or bad, depending how he performs in the game. He scored in 3 of 4 last games, and is really on fire, scoring 3 goals to Trelleborg. All in all, I expect a bunch of goals here (Lund lost 4:0 & 8:0 against Husqvarna and Halmia, two teams that stay fighting to avoid the relegation zone). My pick is something like 3:1.
I wished to wait some hours to see last team's hour, but odds seem to drop a bit, so I need to launch this pick right now to save the value.
|Kristianstads -1.5||Pinnacle||1.87||6||1-0 LOST (-6 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.