Suwalki vs Miedz Legnica
Both teams look pretty safe in the table but a very strong home record vs very weak away form doesn't seem to be being accounted for in the odds, so I'll take Wigry Suwałki draw no bet.
Wigry at home are a very strong team, its no surprise their home record is far better than their away record given that Suwałki is in the far north east corner of Poland and almost every team has travel a minimum 400km one way to get there which can take a long time given the poor state of the roads in these smaller towns.
Wigry have won their last 6 home matches while conceding only 2 goals, overall this season Wigry have lost only 2/14 on home solid and have made it a fortress in their first season at this level. Wigry are unbeaten in 6 overall and lost just 2/10 in 2015 with losses coming at 1st and 4th place in the league.
Miedż Legnica on the other hand are down in 11th and although officially 4 points clear of a relegation play off spot, the news today was that Flota Świnoujście have folded from the league so 1 less team will be relegated so they're pretty much safe now. Their form isn't good going 1-1-3 from their last 5, that 1 victory at home vs crisis club Flota.
Miedż have won only 3/14 away games and lost 9/14. It's also a huge distance between the two cities over 600km one way. Wigry have proved very strong at home this season and I really cant see an away win. The draw no bet cover is playing at safe but I do fancy a home win.
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|Wigry Suwalki DNB||Unibet||1.84||9||0-0 PUSH (Stake return)|