Shrewsbury vs Plymouth by TFB
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
The price for a Shrewsbury win has risen over the last day or 2 and i don't understand why. Shrewsbury need to win as they will claim the League Two title should Burton Albion fail to beat Cambridge United at the Abbey Stadium.
Shrewsbury's home record is also the best in the league after winning 17 of their 22 matches on home soil. Only league leaders Burton can come anywhere near close to that. The Shrews are also the only side in the league to score over 40 home goals this season as they currently average 2 goals a game. Just as impressive is their current home form as they have won their last 4 home games without even conceding a goal. Their form in general is just fantastic winning 8 of their last 9 games.
With this being their last game of the season regardless they have no reason to rest anyone, so Micky Mellon looks to have a full squad of players eager to push Shrewsbury to the title in their final home game in front of their own fans.
Plymouth, their opponents, will finish in the play-offs bar an 8 goal swing in Luton's favour. Honestly, this won't happen, so Plymouth don't need to go full pace for 90 minutes in this match. They have more important games coming up in the play-offs. They will look to rest their top scorer Reuben Reid (42/18) and potentially other key players with Lee Cox (32/0) and Olly Lee (15/2) both out injured.
With this handicap a single goal win will still see profit but i think there is value in extending the handicap slightly for better odds. The straight -1AH is also fine for over EVENS.
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|Shrewsbury -0.75AH||BetVictor||1.91||8||0-2 LOST (-8 units)|