Samsunspor has the advantage of recent results after winning leaders Kayserispor 2-0 home and many other teams not lower than Adanaspor. It's true that they drew Boluspor away 0-0 but won Alanyaspor or Giresunspor and Giresunspor conceeded few goals after 22 fixtures. So teoretically, Adanaspor should conceed more goals today than Giresun' and this is not the only reason. Adanaspor lacks on away sides, like they did in previous fixture against Maniaspor losing the match 2-1. The other important fact about my pick remains that Samsunspor didn't lost in cup or championship since December's 12th day. And that was a top cup match against Bursaspor and that was a difficult leg and it was ment to finish that way, also Samsunspor scored 2 goals in that lose, 2-3. 10 matches were played since then and Samsunspor draw 5 and won 5, one of them was the 2nd leg of that cup match against Bursaspor that finished 1-1 this time on away side. Currently, Adanaspor comes after the lose against Maniaspor and 2 goals conceeded in the win 3-2 against Gaziantep BB, team much lower than Adanaspor in standings. Good luck!
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