Leinster vs Zebre by Sebmc

Fifteenth day RaboDirect Pro 12.


Fifth of the Championship, Leinster remains on a shameful defeat 14-16 at home against the modest team of Newport. It was a very big underachievement for the Irish who had the opportunity to take the third place. It was the second home defeat of Leinster after their defeat against Munster in the early season. In his other home games, the Irish have often put big scores: 42-12 vs Llanelli, 37-23 vs Cardiff 33-8 vs Edinburgh ..


For this meeting, Matt O'Connor has made seven changes to his starting XV: South African full-back Zane Kirchner is back from injury and will start the game in his preferred position, Luke Fitzgerald and Fergus McFadden take place to the wing while the center D'Arcy is back in the center. Eoin Reddan is also back from injury and regain its place of number 9. Marty Moore and Aaron Dundon are back on the front row as the lock Mike McCarthye. In addition, Cian Healy will start on the bench after his return from injury against France.


The infirmary is emptied compared to last week. Only Edward Byrne, Rhys Ruddock, Kevin McLaughlin, Tom Denton, Noel Reid, Richardt Strauss and Jamie Heaslip are still injured. The opener Madigan was allowed to rest. So, the only weak point of the team will be the position of opener. The back line is impressive, the forwards are very sturdy. The bench is huge with plethora of international players .


Leinster: 15 Zane Kirchner, 14 Fergus McFadden, 13 Ben Te'o, 12 Gordon D'Arcy, 11 Luke Fitzgerald, 10 Jimmy Gopperth, 9 Eoin Reddan; 1 Michael Bent, 2 Aaron Dundon, 3 Marty Moore, 4 Mike McCarthy, 5 Kane Douglas, 6 Dominic Ryan, 7 Shane Jennings (c), 8 Jack Conan.


Replacements: 16 Sean Cronin, 17 Cian Healy, 18 Tadhg Furlong, 19 Ben Marshall, 20 Dan Leavy, 21 Isaac Boss, 22 Cathal Marsh, 23 Dave Kearney.


As every year, the Zebra is last of championship. They only have 10 points and chain losses. Last week, the Italians were receiving Glasgow, who has lots of unavailable players due to the international duplication. However, the Warriors won 54 to 10. During their last trips to Ireland, the Zebra lost heavily: 33-13 in Ulster, 31-5 in Munster, 43-3 in Connacht .


For this meeting, the Zebra recover some international as the third rows Bergamasco, Vunisa and wing Michele Visentin. Nevertheless, they have lots of injured players: Cristiano Filippo, Tommaso D'Apice, Filippo Ferrarini, Gonzalo Garcia, Quintin Geldenhuys, Andrea Lovotti, Giulio Toniolatti and Andries Van Schalkwyk are injured while Sarto, Haimona, Gori, Aguero, Biagi, Chistolini, Manici, Venditti, Palazzani are retained by the Italian team. So, we can say that it is a B team that will move to Ireland. First and second rows consists of the usual substitutes. Since they do not have enough players, they have to use 5 players Eccellenza (the Italian championship) in the group in order to make the number. All are substitutes except the lock Sutto. The bench is very poor and Zebra will suffer in scruù.


Zebra: 15 Hendrik Daniller, 14 Dion Berryman, 13 Mirco Bergamasco, 12 Matteo Pratichetti, 11 Michele Visentin, 10 Luciano Orquera, 9 Brendon Leonard; 1 Andrea De Marchi, 2 Oliviero Fabiani, Luciano Leibson 3, 4 Valerio Bernabo, 5 Michele Sutto, 6 Jacopo Sarto, 7 Mauro Bergamasco (c), 8 Samuela Vunisa.


Replacements: 16 Giovanchelli Lorenzo, 17 Laert Naka, Luca Redolfini 18, 19 Giacomo Bernini, 20 Ruben Riccioli, 21 Alberto Chillon, 22 Edoardo Padovani, 23 David Odiete.


Leinster will take a revenge tonight. They report significant returns and have the goal of takin the offensive bonus point. The Zebra have lots of difficulties in scrum and will suffer in the second half given the weakness of their bench.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Leinster -29.5 Unibet 1.87 6 29-8 LOST (-6 units)
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