Pouille vs Monfils by Khum
Tip based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
One of my favourite tennis players, Gael Monfils has been a monument of ups and downs at some point of his career, one of the most unreliable tennis players in terms of betting.
However, in the past year we could see a complete different Gael at work.
So one of my patterns in betting, during 2014, has been backing Gael both as a favourite and as a underdog, because most of the people (I asume the bookies two), kept on seeing him as the tricky, unreliable guy from the years before.
I took a lot of profit from this pattern.
As he showed in the last year, building on a different focus and a almost unbreakable service game, he is placing a lot of pressure on the oponent. In this conditions, his athletic and extremely skilled gameplay helps him to give a strong opposition and sometimes to beat the best guys in this sport.
What is important for the bet I'm about to place is that in 2014 Gael was one of the few guys in ATP who you could trust on no losing sets against players of a lower level.
Check his list of matches and you'll see very few ocasions when he lost sets on other players than the top guys or some well known tricky players as Fognini, Gojowczyk or Nieminen.
Coming to the match he will play today, despite the pretty good start of the year against some average players, I don't count Lucas Pouille as a strong enough opponent to put up a real fight for Gael.
Ok, many will say that Monfils did not play any match this year. For most of the players that could sound tricky. But as I know Gael, that does not scare me. His last official match is the win in straight sets over no other than his friend Roger Federer in the Davis Cup finals.
I see the older frenchman capable of wining in straight sets against the yougster and the total line ofered by Marathon bet covers even 2 tiebreakers in the match. I expect a win in about 30 games here, so I put my money for under 36 games in this match.
|Under 36 games in the match||Marathonbet||1.90||8||2-3 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.