Wycombe vs Luton by Lloyds
The hosts played well on Saturday but despite having a minimal halftime lead they fell short in the second half. Wycombe controlled the match in the first 45 minutes but an early 2nd half goal from Accrington frustrated them after which they couldn't recover. Nevertheless, the 1-1 draw didn't move them from the 1st spot on the table but Shrewsbury and Luton managed to pull within two points. Wycombe have 42 points from 21 matches but they are far from being a "great" home team. They are 11th best home team in the league with 18 points from 11 matches and a +5 goal difference. Luton, who are 6th best road team, have only scored 9 goals when playing away from home so far this season. However, their defense has been top notch on the road with 11 conceded goals, which is a 2nd best figure in the league.
The stakes are high in this match which is why I believe that neither team will allow too much space for the attackers. I expect a slow paced game in which both teams will search for defense to make a mistake rather than go all-out in attack. Last five games between Wycombe and Luton were all but goal shows (3 out of last 5 games ended goalless).
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|under 2.5||Pinnacle||1.71||9||1-1 WON (+6.39 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.