Nice vs Saint Etienne by DrVonKlaps

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Nice
VS
Saint-Etienne
Round 18 of the French Ligue 1. Nice is facing St. Etienne at home.

 

Nice is running a not good streak (W-D-L: 1-1-4), but the last match was a away win against Caen.

 

On the other hand is St Etienne, who runs a fine season on the 4th place of the Ligue 1 table and with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 Ligue 1 away matches, undefeated.

 

St Etienne according form should be the favourite here. There are however some objections:

 

Frequent consecutive games cause fatigue. St Etienne traveled to Ukraine and played just 2 days ago against Dniepr, a match for the UEFA Europa League. St. Etienne will probably show up tired on the pitch, like most of the teams with frequent matches in short time. There will be also absent key players.

 

If this is not enough reason to back up Nice (I partially agree) lets talk about the odds. Betting is a game of the odds, which -I think- overestimate St. Etienne. 3,40 for Nice win, I believe is too much. In my opinion the estimated probability of home win is between 35% and 40%, so I think there is a value in betting on Nice even covering for a draw (a tight match is expected), with an asian handicap.

 

So, my pick would be Nice win (-0,25) AH

 

Good luck to your choices.

 

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
1 (-0,25) Bet365 2.68 7 0-0 HALF LOST (-3.5 units)
0 0
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