Tranmere vs Walsall by Jamesington

Walsall are a division higher than Tranmere Rovers. They are performing well in League One, sitting 13th, whilst their opponents Tranmere struggle near the bottom of League Two, 23rd and 3 points from the bottom. Tranmere have scraped through to this round against opponents from the same division as themselves (needing penalties to get past Carlisle) whereas Walsall have beaten both Rochdale and Sheffield United, both good League One teams, one-nil. Both sides have come through one tie at home and away so there is no real worry about form away from home or and looking at all these factors it is clear that a Walsall victory is the more likely outcome.


In addition to the gulf in league positions between the two sides, there are a couple of other massive pointers to look at which should help you decide whether to back Walsall or not.


The first is the quality of the teams' defences - Walsall have kept clean sheets in 4 of their 5 most recent matches; Tranmere have conceded in every single one of their last 5 (a total of 10 goals). Remember as well that Walsall have kept those clean sheets against teams which are generally better than those Tranmere are playing against. An incredible 8 out of Walsall's last 10 matches has ended with under 1.5 goals: in their last 8 games they have won 1-0 on 3 occasions and drawn 0-0 twice (in addition to a 1-0 defeat in the FA Cup v Shrewsbury). Looking at that info I was very tempted to suggest backing the Walsall 1-0 win but given the gap in quality between the two sides we really should be expecting more than that.


The second key point is that Walsall will be boosted by the return of top goalscorer Tom Bradshaw, whom the manager has said will be involved in some aspect whether it is from the bench or from the start. Bradshaw has as many goals as Tranmere's available strikers combined! Speaking of strikers, Tranmere will be without on-loan Shamir Fenelon, who is cup-tied - he has played in the last 3 matches and will be a miss.


Walsall should win this match, I was tempted by the 1-0 victory but can see it being by more than that so am recommending the outright victory, WALSALL TO WIN at 1.95 with William Hill. The price seems to be shortening across the board.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Walsall Win William Hill 1.95 8 2-2 LOST (-8 units)
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