Basel vs Real Madrid by TFB
Basel go into this match in 2nd place with a 3 point lead over Liverpool in 3rd place. They could do with a result from this game, although not essential, but the odds are massively stacked against them. In previous UCL home games they haven't been great scorers. Apart from the 2 home games against Ludogorets in the last 15 months where they scored 4 goals and 2 goals they haven't scored more than 1 goal in a home match since 2012. They also haven't scored more than 1 goal in a home match against a team you would call world class since they scored 2 against Manchester United in 2011. I look at their team and struggle to see how they could really hurt Real Madrid and score 2+.
Real Madrid on the other hand have already qualified so do not need a big result here. I'd expect a professional performance from them but they certainly don't need to go ape. They do have a tough away match on Saturday against an in form Malaga (7 unbeaten at home) so they may even rest some of their stars for this UCL match, or I would at least expect them to substitute a few in the 2nd half assuming they have the lead. I don't see Madrid scoring 4, 5 or 6 here and I only see Basel scoring 1 at the very most.
I'd guess the most likely score lines are 1-2, 0-2 or 0-3 because I do think Madrid will win, they are the best team in the world after all.
On the other hand this could also be a strange 3-3 thriller but lets hope not!
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|RM & Under 3.5 Goals||Bet365||2.60||8||0-1 WON (+12.8 units)|