Wolfsburg vs Everton by Jamesington

I recommend backing this price early on as it is likely to drop and only two firms (BetVictor and Pinnacle) are offering 3.80 or higher.


This bet is almost as much about the other match in the group as it is about this one. With Wolfsburg and Everton sitting on 7 and 8 points respectively, if Lille fail to beat Krasnodar in Russia then a draw would guarantee qualification for both teams. With a draw meaning certain qualification then it is unlikely that the teams would continue to give 100% blood and thunder the same way they would if their tournament place was on the line and so the match would likely peter out in to a low-scoring draw (meaning our bet would win).


However, even not looking at the Lille visit to Krasnodar, I think this match's most likely outcome is a draw. Both Wolfsburg and Everton have done well in the group so far and are in good shape domestically (Wolfsburg are 2nd in Bundesliga and Everton lie 9th - only 2 points behind 4th place Manchester United). Everton have drawn 5 of their last 10 matches and Wolfsburg, admittedly not draw specialists, drew their home match against Lille - a team that Everton drew with away from home, so there is precedent in the group for a low scoring draw.


Everton have 2 0-0 draws in their last 6 matches and have found the net more than once in only 1 of their last 7 away matches, again hinting at a low scoring match. The 0-0 draw is available at tempting odds of 15.0 with BetVictor but Wolfsburg have not been involved in a 0-0 draw at home for 64 matches, so that kind of scuppers the idea.


Still, a 0-0/1-1 draw remains the most likely outcome in my opinion, particularly if Lille fail to beat Krasnodar. The DRAW, currently at 3.84 with Pinnacle, is my recommended bet. Remember, get in before it's gone. If the price drops with Pinnacle - BetVictor have the draw at 3.80

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Draw Pinnacle 3.84 5 0-2 LOST (-5 units)
0 0
Comments (1)
Looks like it will be over 2.5 goals IMO.
11/27/2014 - 21:51
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