Honved vs Gyor by Jamesington

Firstly, shoutout to Dinnos because I would never have been aware of this game taking place if he had not written a tip for it.

 

His tip is for over 3.5 goals and that seems a solid pick because, by the looks of the Hungarian League Cup, we should expect an absolute goalfest. For me though the value pick is in the away side who are in decent enough form and playing against an outfit that has lost 4 of it's last 6 matches and has not won any of them.

 

I am no Hungarian football expert, hence the low stakes, but this seems a game where the away team are the more likely to win. However we must take into account that it is a cup match and that makes things a little more unpredictable. Therefore, rather than tipping the straight away win I have had a look at the goals market and found some value - GYOR TO SCORE IN BOTH HALVES available at 3.0 with Unibet.

 

Gyor are won of the best early performers in the league and statistics show that they have the 4th best record of all teams in the first 45 minutes - they have scored more goals than ANY other team in the first half in away matches.

 

Gyor have scored 17 goals in 5 cup matches, an average of 3.4 goals per game. When looking at only their away fixtures the figures are even more impressive - 9 goals in 2 matches, an average of 4.5 goals per game.

 

If you expect a team to score 3.4/4.5 goals per game then it stands to reason that they have a good shot of scoring in both halves, certainly a better chance than odds of 3.0 would represent.

 

In the last 4 cup matches where Gyor have scored more than once they have found the net in both halves 75% of the time, a decent enough hit rate to give this bet a chance.

 

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Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Gyor score in both halves Unibet 3.00 3 1-0 LOST (-3 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
0 0
Comments (2)
Joey
Why in the world would you bet on a team to score in both halves, when they are already through? It's retarded.
11/19/2014 - 21:10
Jamesington
3/10 - quiet Joey.
11/19/2014 - 23:12
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