Ellenberger vs Gastelum by Marcelino
Jake Ellenberger (29-8) is ranked 7th and Kelvin Gastelum (10-0) is ranked 11th.
This will probably be a stand up battle as both prefer striking and are both good wrestlers so it will be difficult for either one to take the other down. Jake Ellenberger is a good powerful striker. Kelvin is more technical. Jake struggled in the past against technical strikers with a long reach, like Rory Mcdonald, but Kelvin doesn't have a long reach. I think this will be a very fun to watch stand up fight with a decision being likely, but Kelvin did get rocked a few times in his recent fights, so a knockout by Jake is also likely.
I believe the odds are skewed on this fight in Kelvin's favor. I would actually consider Jake a small favourite. The odds are skewed because Kelvin is a fan favourite. He was the awesome underdog story of tuf17 and he is a likeable guy. Another reason is because he is unbeaten. However, he won a close decision in his last fight and a very close decision in the one before that. He did not look spectacular lately at all, with the increase in competition. Ellenberger is by far his toughest test so far.
Ellenberger is underrated at the moment because he lost his last 2 fights, with the last being TKOed. This looks bad. However, he was fighting 2 amazing fighters in Robbie Lawler and Rory McDonald and the 2 of them and the champ hendricks are probably top 3 in the division. Kelvin Gastelum is nowhere near that level yet. He might be in the future, but he is only 23 and is still growing as a fighter.
Gastelum is a good fighter who will fight for the title in the future. However, he is only 23 and an experience Ellenberger will knock him back down a few steps.
|Jake Ellenberger||Pinnacle||2.76||9||Gastelum LOST (-9 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.