China vs New Zealand by Jamesington

China
VS
New-Zealand
Despite only finishing third in their qualifying group China will compete in the 2015 AFC Asian Cup, qualifying as the best third place team. Having appointed Frenchman Alain Perrin coach earlier in the year they have embarked upon a series of friendly matches in preparation for the tournament - which have turned up some impressive results.

 

I consider it likely that China will win. The Chinese side have far more motivation as they prepare for the Asian Cup starting in March, plus they have a strong and very experienced squad to select from. China have only lost 1 of their last 11 home matches, have beaten both Macedonia & Paraguay this year (amongst others) and are facing a team who are not only ranked more than 40 places below them in the latest FIFA rankings but one on a very poor run of form.

 

Some quick info on New Zealand:

 

- Lost 4 of last 5 matches, but in each game both teams have scored

 

- Have not won any of last 7 matches

 

- Only one defensive player in the squad (including goalkeepers and defenders) has more than 9 caps

 

- Captain and defensive heart Winston Reid is out injured

 

Whilst they have not lost in 4 games, China's defence is far from flawless, they have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches, and New Zealand have at least one very potent goal threat in Leicester striker Chris Wood - for that reason I am fairly confident that both teams will score (New Zealand have conceded 14 in their last 5 matches, China have scored 10 in their last 5).

 

Combining the two likely outcomes of CHINA WIN & BTTS then there is a good opportunity for some serious value with the bet generally available at odds of 5.0.

$200 Bonus

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
China win and BTTS BetVictor 5.00 5 1-1 LOST (-5 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
0 0
Comments (1)
Jamesington
Oh dear, anyone who backed this - sorry guys. Looked good for a while, China were a bit unlucky not to score more than one. Onwards and upwards.
11/14/2014 - 18:05
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