Italy vs Manu Samoa by Serialtips
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Italy wants to take its revenge against Samoa because samoans beat italians last two summers.
I think that they can do it because Samoa has couple of important absences for this first test with Johnston's brothers missing and Mulipola also missing so second choices or even third choices are going to play for Samoa on the front row, plus Treviranus is also missing on the back row, and even if Lam and Fa'asalele are very good players, I don't think that they have the level and the leadership of Treviranus.
On the opposite side, Italy has only Castrogiovanni missing but his level has decreased last months so I don't think that it's a loss for the team.
Good thing for Italy is that Mr Walsh will be referee, knowing that he is very strict on discipline and this is the big weakness of Samoa.
Also, since 5 years, the only teams who succeeded to beat Italy by more than 4 points in Italy are the teams of Rugby Championship, Wales, and England, so only top teams which isn't Samoa to my mind.
So I think that Italy won't lose by more than 4 points.
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|Italy +4,5||Pinnacle||1.81||8||24-13 WON (+6.48 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.