Real San Luis - Cruz Azul de Mexico Football betting preview

Tipster From Mexico Xcout from Mexico writes on Football Betting Preview Football Mexico Mexico Apertura
  Asian Handicap Line 0 : 0
Real San Luis vs Cruz Azul de Mexico
Stadium: Alfonso Lastras

Referee: Jorge Eduardo Gasso Flores

Serie: 7GP - 4 Wins for San Luis - 2 Draws - 1 Wins for Cruz Azul

Last two games have been San Luis victory.

San Luis

The team has a match missing as didn't play on midweek as Pachuca went to play on CONCACAF Champions Cup and the match was postponed. This match will be played 21 march, that is next midweek.

Last match of the team in weekend the team lost to Santos, which represent the the second defeat of San Luis on home, but barely the second victory of Santos in the tournament. In this match San Luis fail in their best feature on home which is a very good defense. The team start bad by allowing two goals, one of Santos MF Ludueña, and another of MF Walter "Lorito" Jimenez from a pass of Ludueña.

San Luis quickly went to attack and put pressure but this day even the referees where against them as they didn't apreciate than a distance shoot hit on the upper post and then hit inside the net near the goal line and went outside. And the referee didn't mark it. San Luis keep attackind and was able to score by MF Angel Eduardo Reyna from a pass of MF Braulio Luna to get to the half time just one goal behind.

In second half Santos was more defensive which San Luis take handy to take the iniciative and score the equalizer in '54 minute in a goal of FW Sebastian Abreu from a pass of MF Angel Reyna. The team was battling to win, but in a defensive mistake almost allowed FW Agustin Herrera to score, but he failed with the net uncovered. Later in an unexpected play DF Fernando Ortiz was able to score a header from a pass of MF Daniel Ludueña.

Due to the result the team in the porcentage table is getting to worrying stage and is nearing to the lower part teams and needs points to avoid this situation and more with less of half of the tournament left.

San Luis manage a defensive team, that laids back focusing on counterattack, in home tends to be solid due to this characteristic, but not invencible, against strong offensive teams they tend to suffer. Last defeat on home puts them with two unders and three overs in home, remarks that their victories have been with clean sheets.

Suspended:

DF Jose Israel Martinez

Cruz Azul

In midweek the team receive Morelia an coach Mizrahi take handy to make an offensive display which was help by the form Morelia playing scheme. Cruz Azul propose the match on the first half, meanwhile Morelia was laid back focusing on counterattacking, thing which didn't provide to be effective. Cruz Azul score first a good goal from the center of FW Richard Nuñez. But the joy didn't last for the fans as just two minutes later DF A. Orozco with a header score the equalizer and the half time came.

In second half, the match grew of intensity when Morelia began attacking and the field open more for a more quick and offensive match. Morelia hit the post with a header of MF Carrasco, that FW Pavlovich take the rebound and with a header score the advantage goal. coach Mizrahi move the bench of Cruz Azul and FW Miguel Sabah substitute FW Borguetti and when '17 minutes where left on the clock put a kick on the post, which rebound himself took it to score the equalizing goal. The draw was appearing as the result, when in a mid-distance shoot Gabriel Pererya score the winning goal. From there Morelia seem in the need and go out attacking like madness and get two chances to score but where well held by Cruz Azul defence.

Cruz Azul defense lost a streak of five matches without allowing a goal, the absence of DF Joel Huiqui was fundamental as he is the tallest player in that area, and the one that control the air game. The return of Hiuqui to the team is the good news, the bad is that DF Salvador Carmona is injured and will miss this game, and as being the captan will be a sensible loss, still for his characteristics I see him more easy to substitute.

Last game was attractive for the fans to see and offensive team but more because after being down on the score, this force the team to mantain that offensive style more than compromise of the coach to do so.

But despite accepting two goals, the defence of Cruz Azul is the fourth best of the tournament and their best display of defence is on away, where on five games they have allow two goals, and last three matches away have obtain clean sheets, winning two and one tie. The team will face a hard time in San Lusi home, but in favor of Cruz Azul is their good step on away.

Suspended:

Coach Isaac Mizrahi

Injured:

DF Salvador Carmona

Match:

I sense a match where San Luis will do the best to return to their defensive style, the problem is that they need the victory with urgency for the relegation issue, and will attack and Cruz Azul could benefit from those spaces and continue with their offensive game play, but will not give up their defensive focus as the priority.

Prediction:

For match winner I sense that Cruz Azul has a good chance to claim the victory as they have better defence on away and their striker force is way over San Luis, still Abreu is a tested striker. but still I found value on Cruz Azul 0 AH

Betting Pick Pick : Cruz Azul Mexico
Odds Odds : 1.95
Stake Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker Bookmaker : Bet365
Date Date : 2007-03-18
Result Match Result :
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:

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