Without the most probable injuries of Rakocevic and Planinic, Tau should have some troubles to store points from the perimeter. They have good replacements like Mickael, Vidal, Jasaitis or Prigioni, but still they would lose some bench roster to could have a higher rhythm along the match. I don’t think this high total could be fair in first quarter final match considering how pressure should be teams. Pamesa as you probably could follow along the season have a crazy offensive play, sometimes shooting more 3 points shoots than lay ups and 2 points shoots. That s not the best form to play games and especially when there is an enormous pressure like here.

If Pamesa wants to have chances in this match, they must play a low tempo match and mainly trying to play long possessions and don’t let Tau to run the court as they usually like. But also Tau should know than in this special situation, they won’t score as easily in offence so they have to supply it with strong defence especially over Pamesa perimeter players, Douglas and Williams mainly. Tau should try more inside balls as usual trying to get faults and easy basket from the zone trying to supply Rako and Planinic most probably absences. Considering all those details, I think than under is the best choice in this match.

Pick : Under 158.5
Odds : 1.90
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Expekt
Match Result : 87-79
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