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They have an edge in pitching, they will send in S Olsen a pitcher doing a great season so far ERA of 2.22, but doing even better in the last 3 games with a ERA of 1.71 – he does strike out a lot, doing some perfect stuff out there – this is a pitcher I wouldn’t bet against. He stays long in the game 7, maybe 8 innings and I believe the marlins have a real asset here.
The nationals are also sending a very good pitcher – S Hill has a season ERA of 3.86, and he is doing quite well lately, but hill has been having problems with the control, and allows generally a few hits, the reason he ahs been good lately has more to do with the fact the opponent batters are not so hot. In terms of WHIP Olsen is a lot better then Hill (1.048 vs 1.500), so for me there an advantage on the marlins side in starting pitcher and it is a larger edge when we see they have better bullpen (1.94 vs 4.48) and this difference can be significant in this bet once Hill will stay less time in the game then Olsen and thus is a major problem that the nationals have to deal with.
Both teams are batting very good recently (0.297 vs 0.290) but yesterday result (11-0) can prove the confidence the marlins are crossing in this moment and so, I’m believing they will bat better – so this handicap seems really a good offer.