This pick is going to be basically made on instinct, sometimes is important. Because when we look at the pitchers on this game we realize that the odds are provably right, once we see an advantage on pitching going directly the white sox on this one.

The white sox will send in G Floyd, that has a season ERA of 3.16, he is a regular pitcher that doesn’t slump much, he will stay in 5 maybe 6 innings. The twins will send in N Blackburn, that has a season ERA of 3.52 – Blackburn is not that regular but is a pitcher able to make not only good games, but also big slumps. Well he is going to face probably the worst offensive team at the moment in MLB, so I’m guessing his job will not be that hardest one around.

The bullpen is also favouring the white sox (4.33 vs 5.24) so we are specking of some differences, but not huge ones.

The huge difference existing here is in hitting, the twins are doing it so much better lately (0.300 vs 0.178), in fact this kind of difference motivates me to this bet – The white sox confidence is very bad right now, they come from 6 straight losses and scoring few runs each time, while the twins are on the opposite route, they have 5 straight wins and scoring a lot. Confidence can play an important and decisive role in a baseball match, so I’m going the handicap here for the twins.



Pick : Minnesota Twins (-1.5) handicap
Odds : 2.84
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-05-07
Match Result : 7-1
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