Arizona begun this season very hard and with a wonderful series, they are getting down to earth again in the last games, their offensive seems to be fading off, and they are starting to loose regularly – I understand the reason why they are favourites here, but in my opinion this game will turn the phillies side easy. Why? 2 factors really, first the pitcher from phillie in better shape, and the when the bullpens enter (it will happen soon on the game) the advantage will go to the phillies, so I guess they can win this one.

The phillies will send A Eaton to the mound, he has a season ERA of 4.72, he is not a great pitcher, but still is quite regular, so I don’t expect big surprise from him, maybe 5 innings in allowing 5, maybe 6 hits and 2, maybe 3 runs. He will have in his favour the lack of confidence Arizona has showed last two games in batting.

R Johnson will be the starting pitcher for the Arizona diamondbacks, he has a season ERA of 4.79, but Johnson have been having problems lately – his control has been weak, he has been underperforming. The difference here is not that much, but still I think the phillies have an edge here.

The bullpen is very good in both sides with the phillies having an advantage (2.33 vs 3.66), so when the bullpen kicks in the phillies will have a clear advantage.

In terms of batting if we look into the stats we would have to say the diamondbacks are a lot better (0.293 vs 0.254), and that’s the real reason why they are favourites, but in my judgement Arizona is beginning to slump, yesterday they lost 11-4, and in the last 4 games they only hit well in one, so my guess for tonight is that the phillies will hit so much beter and they will end up winning this one easy. The Arizona are starting to slump and a good team to bet against at the moment.



Pick : Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) handicap
Odds : 3.95
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : 5dimes
Date : 2008-05-07
Match Result : 6-4
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