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Let’s look at the pitchers then,
J Suppan will begin the game in the mound for the brewers, he has got a season ERA of 5.19, when on road he does a bit worse (ERA of 7.84), but Suppan is a pitcher usually allowing lot’s of hits, and coming from a terrible game (against the cubs) when in 3 innings he allowed 11 hits – a true disaster. Suppan doesn’t have a good control, and for tonight with the brewers going true a hard time, it will be harder on him to.
S Olsen will start in the marlins tonight, he has a season ERA of 2.70, with him it’s hard to put a hit in, and facing such a weak offensive at the moment, he has a perfect night to shine. I believe he will. In terms of bullpen there is an advantage to the marlins also (3.93 vs 4.24) with the fact that Olsen will stay on the game longer then Suppan, so bullpen can be important here.
In terms of batting, florida are a bit better (0.258 vs 0.253), but the main aspect here is that the marlins bat better against a right handed pitcher (0.267) then the brewers against a left handed pitcher (0.238) – I believe everything will be on the marlins side for a win here, and the handicap seems fine to me.